2025-09-22 to present
Detection stopped at 2026-08-20: MRNA is outside the trade universe, and events are only recorded for bars where a ticker was in it that day (DESIGN §4.7). Rows before 2010-03-31 predate the first universe snapshot, where the check has nothing to evaluate and admits every ticker.
| Date | Signal | Side | Entry | Exit | Reason | Hold | Net | MFE | MAE | $10k | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | confluence high · bb upper · overbought↓ reversalrepeat | short | 133.07 | 137.99 | timeout | 5d | -3.8% | +2.3% | -21.3% | $702.30 | |
| 2026-08-19 | confluence high · bb upper · overbought | short | 150.09 | 133.11 | target | 1d | +11.3% | +11.8% | -6.2% | $729.77 | |
| 2026-08-17 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 63.02 | 116.02 | stop | 1d | -84.2% | -81.6% | -180.3% | — | |
| 2026-08-13 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 62.87 | 116.02 | stop | 3d | -84.6% | +1.2% | -181.0% | $655.95 | |
| 2026-07-07 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeatearnings | short | 77.32 | 73.45 | target | 1d | +4.9% | +5.4% | +0.6% | $4,259.69 | |
| 2026-07-06 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 82.08 | 77.34 | target | 1d | +5.7% | +10.6% | +4.6% | — | |
| 2026-07-02 | confluence high · bb upper · overbought | short | 78.53 | 74.60 | target | 2d | +4.9% | +6.6% | -5.6% | $4,059.23 | |
| 2026-07-01 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 73.69 | 84.77 | stop | 1d | -15.1% | -5.2% | -16.2% | $3,868.26 | |
| 2026-06-30 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 70.02 | 80.40 | stop | 1d | -14.9% | -5.2% | -16.3% | $4,556.64 | |
| 2026-06-22 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 59.03 | 68.11 | stop | 3d | -15.4% | +1.9% | -17.4% | $5,353.56 | |
| 2026-06-18 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 64.05 | 59.05 | target | 1d | +7.7% | +8.9% | +0.1% | $6,330.99 | |
| 2026-06-17 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 63.94 | 60.74 | target | 1d | +4.9% | +10.1% | -2.5% | $5,875.86 | |
| 2026-06-16 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 56.19 | 63.96 | stop | 1d | -13.9% | -8.1% | -20.5% | $5,599.34 | |
| 2026-06-02 | confluence low · bb lower · oversoldrepeat | long | 45.31 | 49.40 | target | 1d | +9.0% | +14.5% | +8.0% | $6,502.03 | |
| 2026-05-01 | confluence low · bb lower · oversoldrepeatearnings | long | 45.33 | 47.67 | target | 1d | +5.1% | +5.3% | +1.0% | — | |
| 2026-04-30 | confluence low · bb lower · oversoldrepeatearnings | long | 46.65 | 48.98 | target | 3d | +4.9% | +5.1% | -2.9% | — | |
| 2026-04-29 | confluence low · bb lower · oversoldrepeatearnings | long | 46.21 | 48.52 | target | 4d | +4.9% | +6.1% | -5.5% | $5,967.70 | |
| 2026-04-21 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 55.38 | 52.61 | target | 1d | +4.9% | +5.0% | -1.3% | — | |
| 2026-04-17 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 53.67 | 50.99 | target | 4d | +4.9% | +5.8% | -4.7% | $5,686.78 | |
| 2026-03-31 | confluence low · bb lower · oversoldrepeat | long | 51.66 | 51.28 | timeout | 5d | -0.8% | +1.4% | -8.2% | $5,419.40 | |
| 2026-03-05 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeatearnings | short | 52.20 | 52.56 | timeout | 5d | -0.8% | +1.5% | -10.9% | $5,462.38 | |
| 2026-03-02 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 50.43 | 57.75 | stop | 1d | -14.6% | -2.5% | -18.1% | $5,504.15 | |
| 2026-02-27 | confluence high · bb upper · overbought | short | 52.40 | 49.78 | target | 1d | +4.9% | +8.2% | +1.0% | — | |
| 2026-02-26 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 51.25 | 48.69 | target | 2d | +4.9% | +6.2% | -7.2% | — | |
| 2026-02-23 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 50.16 | 49.83 | timeout | 5d | +0.6% | +4.1% | -9.5% | $6,443.67 | |
| 2026-02-11 | confluence low · bb lower · oversoldrepeatearnings | long | 40.13 | 42.13 | target | 1d | +4.9% | +11.6% | +2.7% | $6,405.26 | |
| 2026-01-23 | confluence high · bb upper · overbought | short | 49.46 | 46.99 | target | 1d | +4.9% | +9.0% | -3.5% | $6,103.73 | |
| 2026-01-22 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 49.80 | 47.31 | target | 1d | +4.9% | +6.4% | +0.6% | $5,816.49 | |
| 2026-01-21 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 50.22 | 47.71 | target | 1d | +4.9% | +6.7% | -0.4% | $5,542.77 | |
| 2026-01-20 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 43.49 | 50.24 | stop | 1d | -15.6% | -15.1% | -26.9% | $5,281.92 | |
| 2026-01-15 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 41.59 | 46.22 | stop | 2d | -11.2% | +2.1% | -20.2% | $6,257.50 | |
| 2025-12-23 | confluence high · bb upper · overbought | short | 32.15 | 30.54 | target | 3d | +4.9% | +5.6% | -1.6% | — | |
| 2025-12-22 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 34.85 | 32.16 | target | 1d | +7.7% | +7.8% | +5.9% | — | |
| 2025-12-19 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 33.58 | 31.90 | target | 3d | +4.9% | +7.5% | -4.1% | $7,047.34 | |
| 2025-12-18 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 31.27 | 34.20 | stop | 1d | -9.4% | -6.6% | -14.8% | $6,715.90 | |
| 2025-12-17 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 30.73 | 33.45 | stop | 1d | -8.9% | -1.4% | -11.5% | $7,415.41 | |
| 2025-12-15 | confluence high · bb upper · overbought | short | 29.90 | 32.43 | stop | 3d | -8.5% | -0.0% | -14.5% | — | |
| 2025-12-12 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 29.27 | 31.77 | stop | 3d | -8.6% | +0.8% | -10.0% | — | |
| 2025-12-11 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 29.45 | 31.83 | stop | 4d | -8.2% | +2.7% | -9.4% | $8,141.99 | |
| 2025-12-10 | confluence high · bb upper · overboughtrepeat | short | 28.92 | 31.39 | stop | 4d | -8.6% | +0.9% | -9.6% | — |
40 of 345
Outcomes are measured on the touch entry, matching the chart markers. The screener’s hit rates are measured on next_open, which is the entry the cell grid simulated. Same events, two entries.